RiskReversal Pod

Tariff Tantrum with Peter Boockvar

Apr 10, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Peter Boockvar, CIO at Bleakly Advisory Group, dives into the complexities of recent tariff announcements and their market ramifications. He analyzes the volatility in the bond market and the potential long-term impacts on U.S.-China trade relations. The conversation highlights the rising tensions in global economic dynamics and the fragility of tech investments. Peter also breaks down treasury trades and poses critical questions about the sustainability of current market trends amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
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INSIGHT

Bond Market Volatility

  • The recent spike in 10-year yields reflects a complex situation beyond the traditional treasury trade.
  • Factors include international trade tensions, a weakening dollar, deleveraging in the bond market, and tax-related selling.
INSIGHT

Dollar Weakening and Rising Yields

  • The US hasn't faced a weakening dollar alongside rising yields for a long time. This combination, coupled with Japan's struggles and China's potential actions, is concerning for the bond market's health.
INSIGHT

Market Fragility

  • The market's fragility predates the tariffs, stemming from waning investor confidence in the AI tech sector and other factors.
  • This fragility, combined with high valuations and leadership loss, makes the market vulnerable.
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