Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance: End of the Everything Rally?

Dec 20, 2023

China's intention to reunify Taiwan, global easing cycle, balanced portfolio approach, Apple's expanding margins, Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping vessels, consequences of new bank capital rules, geopolitical situation in the Red Sea

36:40

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Quick takeaways

The Houthi rebels in Yemen pose a significant risk to global trade and supply chains, potentially impacting 10-15% of global trade passing through the Red Sea and Suez Canal.

Addressing the Houthi threat in Yemen is challenging due to limited options and hesitancy to pursue offensive actions, with the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas further complicating the regional dynamics.

Deep dives

Yemen's Houthi rebels pose a significant threat in the Red Sea region

The Houthi rebels in Yemen have grown from a ragtag militia to a significant threat, controlling Sanaa and a third of the country. They are not simply pawns of Iran, but willing participants driven by ideology. This poses a challenge for Saudi Arabia, who have been unsuccessful in their fight against the Houthis and want to extricate themselves from the conflict. The US is hesitant to escalate the situation, and regional Arab states are reluctant to join an American effort against the Houthis. The situation is complicated by the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, which has provided Iran an opportunity to exploit the weakness in the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the US.

Introduction

3min

China's Concerns about Reunification with Taiwan and the Global Easing Cycle

8min

Analyzing Real-Time Data, Disinflation, and Wage Inflation's Impact on Overall Inflation

4min

Understanding the Impact of Inflation Adjusted Yield on Asset Inflation

7min

Analyzing the Possibility of the Everything Rally Continuing and the Concerns for a Rocky Year Ahead

2min

Valuation and Growth of Apple

8min

Consequences of Federal Bank Capital Rules and Podcast Ad

2min

The Geopolitical Situation in the Red Sea and Yemen

5min

Global Trade Disruptions and Political Dynamics

4min

Michael Hirson, 22V Research Head of China Research, discusses a new NBC News report that claims Xi Jinping warned President Biden that Beijing intends to reunify Taiwan. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says we've already entered a global easing cycle. Jim Caron, CIO, Portfolio Solutions Group, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, advises a balanced portfolio approach going into what he expects to be a 'very rocky year'. Dan Ives, Wedbush Sr. Equity Research Analyst, says Apple margins will continue to expand despite pressure from EU regulators. Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Senior Fellow, says 'huge' problems lie ahead for the US in addressing the Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping vessels.
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