

Recurve Capital's Aaron Chan on the scalability of Carvana's $CVNA business model
27 snips Feb 4, 2025
Aaron Chan, Founder and Managing Partner at Recurve Capital LLC, shares his expertise on Carvana, the major player in online used car sales. He discusses the nuances of its disruptive business model, comparing it to Netflix's transformation in entertainment. Chan highlights the company's unique advantages, like operational efficiencies and national presence, while addressing the volatility that attracts short sellers. He also speculates on future growth potential and the significant market dynamics that could shape Carvana's success.
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Carvana's Scalability Misunderstood
- Many misunderstand Carvana's scalability, even bulls.
- They incorrectly model declining unit economics as the business scales.
Carvana's Stock Volatility
- Carvana's stock plummeted from $300 to $3 due to operational issues and market conditions.
- This volatility was caused by high leverage, capital market dependence, and growth slowdown.
Lack of Competition Despite Market Signal
- Carvana's market cap suggests significant future cash flow, attracting competition.
- Yet, few competitors successfully replicate their model, despite the market signal.