Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Chetan Puttagunta and Modest Proposal - Capital, Compute & AI Scaling - [Invest Like the Best, EP.400]

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Dec 6, 2024
Chetan Puttagunta is a General Partner at Benchmark, specializing in AI and tech investments, while Modest Proposal is an anonymous investor with deep expertise in AI and public markets. They discuss the scaling challenges in AI development, particularly moving from pre-training to test-time compute. The duo explores how this shift could democratize AI, reshape public and private investments, and transform the competitive landscape for tech companies. They also delve into the future of AI, emphasizing the importance of reasoning capabilities and the need for innovative investment strategies.
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INSIGHT

AI Development Shift

  • AI development may shift from pre-training to test-time compute as labs hit scaling limits.
  • This shift could democratize AI development and reshape the investment landscape.
INSIGHT

Test-Time Compute Scaling

  • Test-time compute scaling involves LLMs exploring multiple solutions in parallel and using a verifier.
  • Scaling limits might arise from algorithms exhausting the search space and verifier limitations.
INSIGHT

Hyperscaler Implications

  • The shift to test-time compute better aligns revenue and expenditure for hyperscalers.
  • It also raises questions about network architecture and its impact on power and grid design.
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