Sinica Podcast

Taiwan, Ukraine, and the Sino-American Rivalry

Jun 6, 2024

Experts discuss the impact of US-China rivalry on Ukraine and Taiwan, comparing the situations in both countries. They explore Taiwan's strategic preparations amidst the Ukraine-Russia conflict and analyze the social origins of policies in China, Taiwan, and Ukraine. The podcast also delves into the Sino-American rivalry, implications of Trump's return on Taiwan, and China's lessons from Taiwan in the wake of the Ukraine War.

01:19:21

Episode guests

Dmytro Burtsev

Da Wei

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

Taiwan's security differs from Ukraine due to recognized sovereignty, offering stronger assurance.

US-China-Moscow dynamic shifts, with Beijing expecting US concessions for Moscow alliance.

Concerns about Taiwan's security amidst US-China tensions, with complex impacts on Taiwan-China relations.

Deep dives

Taiwan's Perceptions on Security Guarantees Compared to Ukraine

Taiwan's strategic thinking and preparations differ from Ukraine due to Budapest Memorandum's less concrete security guarantees. Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan's recognition as a sovereign state by all parties offers more substantial security assurance.

Intro

5min

Comparison of Ukraine and Taiwan in Global Geopolitics

26min

Taiwan's Strategic Preparations Amidst Ukraine-Russia Conflict

8min

Exploring the Social Origins of Policies and Security Assurances in China, Taiwan, and Ukraine

2min

Analysis of Budapest Memorandum of 1994 and US-Taiwan Act of 1979

3min

Analysis of the Sino-American Rivalry and the Old Strategic Triangle

4min

Implications of Trump's Return and Taiwan's Concerns

8min

China's Lessons from Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine War

25min

This week on Sinica, a conversation that I moderated on May 30th called “Assessing the Impact of US-China Rivalry on Ukraine and Taiwan,” put on by the Ukrainian Platform for Contemporary China. The main organizer was my friend Vita Golod, who is the chair of the Ukrainian Association of Sinologists.

The panelists are:

Dmytro Burtsev, a Junior Fellow at A. Krymskyi Institute of Oriental Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
Da Wei, Director of the Center for International Security and Strategy and Professor at the School of Social Sciences at Tsinghua University.
Emilian Kavalski, Professor at the Centre for International Studies and Development at Jagiellonian University in Krakow.
I Yuan, Adjunct Research Fellow at the Institute of International Relations, National Chengchi University, Taiwan.

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