Talking Geopolitics George Friedman: What's Next for Russia, Ukraine and Europe?
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May 6, 2025 
George Friedman, chairman and founder of Geopolitical Futures, sheds light on the precarious nature of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the waning role of U.S. mediation. He discusses Eastern Europe's emerging significance as a geopolitical buffer and the challenges of unity among European nations, marked by historical grievances. Exploring Russia's internal struggles and potential leadership changes, Friedman emphasizes the evolving European landscape and the urgent need for the West to recognize and support Eastern Europe's growing influence.
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US Shifts From Military to Economic Ties
- The US-Ukraine minerals deal signals economic commitment without military alliance obligations.
- It warns Russia against interference by establishing significant US economic interests in Ukraine.
Putin's Desperation Revealed
- Russia is militarily overstretched and unable to win the war in Ukraine.
- Putin's nuclear threats signal desperation amid internal political pressures.
Negotiation Posturing in Ukraine War
- Russia wants to appear indifferent in negotiations despite heavy losses.
- The US signals readiness to continue support unless Russia ends talks, reflecting real bargaining tactics.