Scott Horton Show - Just the Interviews 1/22/26 Daniel Davis on Ukraine, Davos and the future of America’s Policy Towards Europe
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Jan 24, 2026 
Daniel L. Davis, retired Army officer and defense analyst known for whistleblowing on Iraq and Afghanistan, returns to survey geopolitics. He walks through how close the Ukraine war is to ending. He examines NATO cohesion, Europe's urge for independent security, and Russia’s evolving military strength and new weapons.
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War Of Attrition Favors Russia
- The battlefield arc favors Russia in a war of attrition because Ukraine lacks manpower and sustainment capacity.
- Daniel Davis argues Russia will eventually win unless a settlement meets Moscow's core demands.
Kupyansk Gain Was Temporary And Costly
- Davis recounts Ukraine's costly gains around Kupyansk and then predicts they cannot hold it long-term.
- He cites high Ukrainian casualties, desertions, and large personnel losses undermining sustainment.
Security Guarantees Are The Core Sticking Point
- The sticking point in negotiations is security guarantees, especially limits on Ukraine's future military and NATO prospects.
- Davis says Russia will only accept terms aligned with its June 2024 demands, including neutrality and demilitarization.
