The Globalist

What next for the Russia-Ukraine war?

May 16, 2025
Join Stephen Diel, a keen Russia analyst, as he unpacks Vladimir Putin's negotiation strategies amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Matthias Mazini provides a thrilling preview of Poland’s presidential election, diving into candidate strategies and voter disinformation. Claudine Fry discusses global trade dynamics shaped by U.S. policies, while Florian Wiede shares behind-the-scenes insights on the creative logistics of the Eurovision stage. Expect a blend of serious geopolitics and a touch of cultural commentary!
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INSIGHT

Putin's Time-Warp Strategy

  • Putin's delegation in Istanbul mirrored one from three years ago, ignoring recent war developments.
  • He aims to negotiate from a position that denies Ukraine full sovereignty and territorial reclamation.
INSIGHT

Putin's Magical Thinking

  • Putin practices magical thinking by ignoring his failed initial war objectives.
  • He tries to reassure Russians that eventual victory remains possible despite setbacks.
INSIGHT

Fear of Uprising Threatens Putin

  • Putin's greatest fear is a spontaneous uprising driven by worsening living costs.
  • Such unrest could crack his regime and potentially end the war.
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