

“Fear and electability in Miami.”
Jun 25, 2019
Pat Reilly, co-founder of Change Research, shares his insights on the dynamic landscape of polling ahead of the 2020 elections. He discusses innovative strategies the firm employs, like geolocation, to capture diverse voter data. The conversation dives into the challenges Democrats face advocating for immigrant rights while navigating the fallout from significant allegations against Trump. Reilly sheds light on the shifting voter sentiments and electability of key candidates, setting the stage for the crucial primaries ahead.
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Escalation Risks with Iran
- Trump's decision-making process, influenced by Fox News host Tucker Carlson, raises concerns about war with Iran.
- The potential consequences of escalating tensions with Iran are severe, including attacks on US personnel and regional instability.
De-escalation Strategies
- A normal administration would prioritize de-escalation with Iran through international cooperation and targeted responses.
- Building a coalition to protect sea lanes and clearly communicating goals and strategies are crucial.
Incoherent Iran Strategy
- The Trump administration's maximum pressure strategy on Iran lacks a diplomatic solution, creating incoherence.
- Sanctioning key Iranian figures like the Supreme Leader and Foreign Minister hinders negotiations and escalates tensions.