

What’s up with these political polls?
Nov 4, 2024
David Coletto, Founder and CEO of Abacus Data, dives into the fascinating world of political polling. He discusses the historical evolution of polling and the challenges posed by new technologies and demographic shifts. Coletto highlights critical cases where polls faltered, like the 2016 U.S. election, and unpacks the significance of polling weighting for accuracy. He also explores how polls can sway public perception and electoral outcomes, emphasizing the complexities of predicting results in closely contested races.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6
Intro
00:00 • 2min
The Evolution and Challenges of Political Polling
01:48 • 11min
Understanding Polling Weighting and Its Impact
12:23 • 2min
Understanding the Flaws of Polling and What Defines Quality
14:31 • 2min
The Power and Perils of Political Polling
16:43 • 6min
Shifting Polls: Harris vs. Trump in Iowa
22:53 • 2min