In this discussion, market commentator Ian Dunlap shares insights on Oracle’s stock pullback and whether it’s a good time to invest. He advises waiting for a price drop to around $160 before buying. Ian cautions that the current market won’t deliver Nvidia-level returns. Troy Millings highlights the delayed nature of cloud profitability and compares Oracle's journey to that of giants like AWS and Google. They also examine Oracle's position as the fourth-largest U.S. cloud provider and the potential impact of its political connections, especially regarding Larry Ellison.
09:56
forum Ask episode
web_stories AI Snips
view_agenda Chapters
auto_awesome Transcript
info_circle Episode notes
volunteer_activism ADVICE
Wait For A Clearer Buy Zone
Wait for a lower entry point before buying Oracle; Ian Dunlap suggests around $160.
Don't expect Nvidia-like returns from most tech stocks in the current market climate.
insights INSIGHT
Cloud Profits Arrive Later
Cloud profitability is "future dated" and typically materializes years after heavy investment.
Oracle's cloud is following a path similar to AWS and Google, requiring time to turn investments into steady profits.
insights INSIGHT
CapEx Pressures Can Mask Growth
Oracle's cloud grew its revenue mix, showing customer additions despite heavy CapEx pressure.
Heavy CapEx depresses margins in the short term while building long-term cloud capacity.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
In this Market Mondays clip, Ian Dunlap and Troy Millings dive into Oracle’s latest stock pullback and tackle the burning question: Is now the right time to buy Oracle shares? The conversation breaks down everything investors need to know—including the timing of Oracle’s cloud profitability, the challenges of CAPEX spending, and the shift in market sentiment. Ian Dunlap emphasizes patience, advising investors to wait until Oracle dips closer to $160 before considering an entry point. He highlights how the overall market environment has shifted, urging viewers not to expect every tech company to produce Nvidia-like returns. Troy Millings adds depth by dissecting the nature of cloud profitability, noting that significant returns are often “future dated”—it took Amazon and Google years to generate meaningful profits in their cloud divisions. He draws comparisons to Microsoft’s Azure, explaining that Oracle is following a proven path, even as it faces margin pressure and intense scrutiny. The duo also unpacks Oracle’s position as the fourth-largest cloud provider in the U.S., the spike in credit default swaps, and the impact of negative sentiment as the company’s massive investments raise eyebrows. Troy discusses how Oracle’s evolution—from enterprise software to subscriptions, to AI, and now cloud services—shows resilience, but also warns that market and government connections (like those with Larry Ellison) play a significant role in Oracle’s prospects. For anyone trying to navigate the choppy waters of tech stocks, this analysis offers historical insight, practical entry strategies, and candid takes on where Oracle might be heading next. Don’t miss out if you’re watching cloud stocks or considering Oracle for your portfolio. *Chapters Include:*
Oracle’s Stock Pullback: Buy Now or Wait?
Cloud Profitability: The Long Play for Investors
Oracle vs. Amazon, Google, and Microsoft in the Cloud Race
CAPEX and Margin Pressures Explained
Market Sentiment & Credit Default Swaps: What Investors Should Know
The Larry Ellison Factor: Government Ties & Future Outlook
Earn Your Leisure