The Next Big Idea

EMPIRE: Why Ray Dalio Thinks We May Be Headed for Civil War

7 snips
Mar 10, 2022
Join legendary investor Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates and author of bestsellers like 'Principles.' He discusses the cyclical nature of history and warns that the U.S. is facing significant turmoil, estimating a 30% chance of civil conflict due to deepening inequality. Dalio shares insights on geopolitical tensions, the struggles between democracies and autocracies, and the implications for American unity. He also addresses investment strategies amid global uncertainties, particularly the impact of China on the U.S. economy.
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ANECDOTE

Early Investing

  • Ray Dalio started investing at 12, caddying for figures like Nixon.
  • His first stock tripled in value, giving him a false sense of market ease.
INSIGHT

Learning from Mistakes

  • Dalio's 1982 market miscalculation taught him valuable lessons.
  • Overconfidence is detrimental; risk must be balanced; history matters.
INSIGHT

Practical History

  • Ray Dalio studies history to inform current and future decision-making, not for historical analysis itself.
  • Surprises come from events outside one's lifetime, hence the need to study long-term historical patterns.
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