The UK leaves recession – but is it too late for the Tories?
May 10, 2024
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Natalie Elphicke, unveiled by Keir Starmer, discusses UK's exit from recession and economic growth. Keir Starmer's speech on Labour's plans to stop the boats and the comparison between Labour and Tory migration policies are debated. The podcast explores UK economic performance, potential election, and Labour's stance on asylum system reform.
The UK's GDP growth of 0.6% in Q1 2024 marks the end of recession, but concerns linger over timing and credit attribution.
Labour's alignment with Tory immigration policies raises questions on clear policy distinctions and public perception.
Deep dives
UK Economy Shows Growth in Q1 2024
The Office for National Statistics announced that the UK GDP grew by 0.6% in the first quarter of 2024, signaling the end of the technical recession. Monthly growth in March exceeded expectations, contributing to the positive Q1 growth. The government sees this as a narrative of recovery for the economy, aligning with the Bank of England's forecasts. Despite the positive outlook, there are concerns about the timing of this recovery and whether it should have happened sooner.
Political Response to Economic Recovery
The government aims to convey a message of economic recovery and growth to the public, especially in the lead-up to a potential general election. While the news of GDP growth is positive, there are doubts about the government receiving political credit for this development. There is a strategic focus on tax cuts and economic improvements to enhance public perception and prepare for potential election dates. Both Labour and the government engage in political positioning regarding economic policies and achievements.
Labour's Response on Immigration Policies
Labour's stance on immigration policies, particularly concerning small boats and asylum systems, is a focal point during this period. Keir Starmer's address on tackling small boats emphasizes a rules-based system and deterring illegal immigration. Labour's policy alignment with the Tories on migration strategies raises questions about distinct policy positioning. The potential adoption of Tory policies by Labour may impact public perception and highlight the need for clarity in Labour's immigration stance.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) confirmed this morning that the UK confined its technical recession to 2023. The economy grew by 0.6 per cent in the first three months of the year, thanks in large part to stronger-than-expected growth in March, which reached 0.4 per cent. But is the plan really working?
Also on the podcast, Keir Starmer gave a speech in Dover this morning on Labour's plans to stop the boats. He also took the opportunity to unveil new Labour MP Natalie Elphicke. Is there any clear blue water between Labour and the Tories when it comes to migration?
Oscar Edmondson speaks to Kate Andrews and James Heale.
Produced by Oscar Edmondson.
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