S4E20: Moshe Dayan, Master of Emergent Strategy? With Professor Eitan Shamir
Mar 26, 2024
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Moshe Dayan, a pivotal yet controversial figure in Israeli politics, and Professor Eitan Shamir, an expert on strategy-making, engage in a thought-provoking discussion. They explore Dayan's evolution as a master of emergent strategy, emphasizing flexibility over rigid plans. The conversation dives into Dayan’s military background, the intricacies of the Suez Campaign, and the dual perceptions of his leadership during the Yom Kippur War. Shamir offers insights from his upcoming biography, shedding light on Dayan's lasting legacy and strategic influence.
Moshe Dayan's strategic effectiveness during the Six-Day War exemplified his decisive leadership and innovative military tactics that altered Israel's fortunes.
The shift from military strategies to peace negotiations in Dayan's later career highlights the importance of flexibility and adaptability in emergent strategy.
Deep dives
Early Life and Military Foundations of Moshe Dayan
Moshe Dayan's early life was influenced by his upbringing in a kibbutz, where he was connected to both Jewish and Arab cultures. He developed a deep respect for Arab traditions, which shaped his dual identity as a staunch advocate for a Jewish state while maintaining an appreciation for Arab heritage. Dayan's military career commenced during the British Mandate, where he learned unconventional warfare tactics under the mentorship of British officer Charles Wingate. His experiences in guerrilla warfare laid the foundation for his later leadership roles during Israel’s key military conflicts.
Strategic Leadership During Key Conflicts
Dayan’s strategic impact was notably visible during the Six-Day War, where his decisive leadership and focus on destroying the Egyptian army were pivotal to Israel's rapid success. Appointed Defense Minister shortly before the conflict, he capitalized on heightened military morale and pushed for a preemptive strike that dramatically changed the war's course. In contrast, during the Yom Kippur War, Dayan faced criticism for underestimating enemy capabilities, leading to Israel's initial surprise. These contrasting outcomes exemplify the complexities and challenges of military leadership during tumultuous times.
Dayan as a Peacemaker and Emergent Strategist
After the Yom Kippur War, Dayan shifted his focus toward peace negotiations, playing a crucial role in the Camp David Accords between Israel and Egypt. As part of a right-wing government under Begin, he leveraged his military reputation to facilitate a historic agreement, believing that peace with Egypt was essential for Israel's security. Dayan’s approach exemplified an emergent strategy, which emphasized flexibility and adaptability in responding to changing realities rather than following rigid plans. His legacy endures not only through military doctrine but also as a complex figure straddling both war and peace, leaving a significant imprint on Israel's historical landscape.
Moshe Dayan (1915-1981) is a controversial figure in Israeli politics. Revered by some as a master strategist, he is criticised by others for his failure to foresee Egypt’s attack in 1973, and then for ‘giving up’ the Sinai in return for a peace treaty.
Strategy-making can take two approaches. The first, ‘Deliberate Strategy’, is formulated and implemented hierarchically and centrally; decisions are taken by the head of the organisation, and detailed plans and instructions are issued to those responsible for implementation. The alternative model, ‘Emergent Strategy’, is characterised by its flexibility on ends as well as ways and means.
This week’s guest, Professor Eitan Shamir, is the Director of the Begin Sadat Center for Strategic Studies of Bar Ilan University, argues that Moshe Dayan was a strategist who took the second approach. Professor Shamir is the author of a new biography entitled “Moshe Dayan: The Making of a Strategist” (2023, in Hebrew, and due to be published in English in 2024 by Cambridge University Press) and, with Beatrice, edited Insurgencies and Counterinsurgencies: National Styles and Strategic Cultures (CUP, 2017).
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