Ceasefire Dynamics in Lebanon

The recent ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah marks a significant moment for Lebanon as both the Lebanese army and state security forces prepare for a phased return to control their territory. This ceasefire, which bears similarities to Resolution 1701 that ended the 2006 war, reflects a fragile situation characterized by underlying tensions and a lack of trust on both sides. Israel's withdrawal is connected to its focus on the war in Gaza and the Iranian threat, with Netanyahu emphasizing the need for a ceasefire to regroup and isolate Hamas, despite criticisms regarding his commitment to securing hostages. The stability of this ceasefire is uncertain, heavily reliant on the Lebanese Armed Forces, which are underfunded and facing enormous challenges due to the country’s economic crisis.