Thomas777 discusses the Israel-Gaza war, exploring viewpoints and military aspects. They delve into the political impact of Israel's existence and the influence of Zionist interests, as well as the improved performance of Hamas and the operational sophistication of the Israeli opposition. The podcast also explores potential conflicts in Central Asia and the Middle East, discussing major players like the United States and the indifference of some Arab and Islamic states towards America and Israel. It touches on the unrealistic expectations and human suffering in the Ukraine conflict. Additionally, the podcast examines Hamas' motivations and impact, including possible involvement of Iran. The host expresses neutrality on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Hamas aims to leverage the Israeli-Gaza conflict to strike Israel and force concessions on human rights issues, while also gaining political attention for the Palestinian cause among Arab communities.
The current geopolitical landscape makes World War III highly unlikely, with no political will or mobilization for a large-scale conflict. The main conflict theater in the 21st century is seen as central Asia, not the Israeli-Hamas conflict.
Deep dives
Hamas' Objectives in the Israeli-Hamas Conflict
Hamas aims to liberate Gaza from the Israeli blockade and achieve basic rights and access to commodities for the people of Gaza. They see this as an opportunity to strike Israel when there may be vulnerability in terms of Israel's forces and munitions. Hamas also understands the political importance of bringing attention to the plight of the Palestinian people, especially among Arab communities. They are politically savvy and aim to force Israel into making concessions on human rights issues.
Unlikelihood of World War III
The possibility of World War III is highly unlikely in the current geopolitical landscape. There is no political will, forces in place, or mobilization for such a large-scale conflict. The 20th century was an anomaly, and conflicts of that scale are extremely rare. The main conflict theater in the 21st century is seen as central Asia, involving countries like the United States, China, Turkey, and Russia. However, the Israeli-Hamas conflict does not have the potential to escalate to a global war.
Reason for Ukraine Disappearing from News Cycle
The reasons for Ukraine disappearing from the news cycle may be multifaceted. One possibility is that Biden's lack of understanding and poor decision-making may have contributed to a lack of clear objectives for the US in Ukraine. Additionally, there may be a realization that Ukraine cannot win the war militarily, and the ongoing conflict does not serve any significant geopolitical purpose. The war in Ukraine has primarily been driven by business interests and tribal prejudices rather than a realistic path to victory.
Speculation on Hamas' Coordination and Ceasefire Possibility
Hamas' military strategy in this conflict appears to be well-coordinated, with a focus on achieving specific objectives in the conflict. While some may view Hamas as inherently evil, their actions suggest a more calculated approach to achieve their goals and bring attention to the situation in Gaza. The recent statement made by a Hamas leader about being open to ceasefire negotiations indicates that Hamas may consider their current objectives achieved and are open to a resolution that addresses the humanitarian situation in Gaza.
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Thomas777 joins Jason to discuss what we currently know (as of Oct 9th 2023) about the war between Israel and Gaza and speculates on what may come next.
Follow Thomas on Substack: realthomas777.substack.com
Follow Jason on X: @2bitpodcast
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