Halftime Report

Your September Strategy 8/29/25

Aug 29, 2025
Stephanie Link, a top investor and member of the Investment Committee on CNBC, shares insights on market trends. Jim Leventhal discusses dynamic portfolio management and specific stock recommendations. Amy Raskin offers her expertise in identifying growth strategies amid a $2.4 trillion pipeline of mega projects. The trio debates whether a stumble is looming for the market as September approaches, with a particular focus on the performance of tech stocks like NVIDIA and the booming retail sector, especially Deckers' potential for international growth.
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INSIGHT

AI CapEx Still Massive

  • AI/semiconductor growth remains large even if pace slows; NVIDIA projects $3–4T CapEx by 2030 implying long-term 40–45% CAGR.
  • Investors should weigh re-rating against sustained industry demand and company market share.
INSIGHT

Skepticism On AI Payoff Timeline

  • Some Committee members doubt the $3–4T figure and warn expectations may be too high for near-term returns.
  • That skepticism suggests potential volatility as markets price a longer, slower realization of AI benefits.
ADVICE

Trim Into September

  • Trim richly valued positions and raise cash ahead of historically tricky September trading.
  • Watch for sentiment rollovers as buying opportunities to redeploy cash on dips.
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