Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski cover image

Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

John Candeto: The Importance of Survival, The Power Laws, The Study of Complexity in Investing

Sep 25, 2024
John Candeto, Founder and Managing Partner of the Phronesis Fund, explores the intriguing intersection of complexity and investing. He emphasizes that survival is key to investment success and highlights the importance of power laws in wealth growth. Candeto challenges traditional statistics, advocating for a long-term perspective over short-term fluctuations. He discusses values-based decision-making and the significance of asking the right questions to navigate complexity. Additionally, he shares insights on balancing structure with serendipity to enhance creativity.
01:36:32

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Survival is fundamental in investing, emphasizing resilience against uncertainties to maintain a viable investment strategy over time.
  • Investing as an infinite game promotes long-term wealth accumulation by encouraging a focus on adaptability and continuous learning beyond immediate outcomes.

Deep dives

The Importance of Survival in Investing

Survival is emphasized as the fundamental principle in investing, likened to a racing driver's saying that to finish first, one must first finish. This concept encompasses building resilience against various future uncertainties, which is crucial for maintaining an investment strategy over time. By ensuring survival, investors can continue participating in the market and avoid catastrophic losses that could derail their financial objectives. The discussion ultimately underscores that the first objective in investment decision-making should be centered around strategies that secure longevity in uncertain environments.

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