Iran's Dilemma of Retaliation

Iran faces a critical decision regarding retaliation following recent attacks on its territory, especially after the assassination of a key Hamas leader on Iranian soil. The Iranian leadership recognizes the need for a robust response to maintain deterrence and assert their power, particularly due to the failure of prior limited responses, which had not dissuaded Israeli aggression. The complexity of the situation lies in the potential for a wider regional conflict, which could severely impact both Iran and its allies economically. Ordinary Iranians are also aware that failure to respond adequately may invite further provocations from Israel and allow for repeated incursions.