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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: US CPI with Bryson

Oct 12, 2023
Jay Bryson discusses the challenge of getting back to 2% inflation. David Kelly sees inflation coming down. Elliot Ackerman talks about the Israel-Hamas war. Michael Shaoul predicts yield curve control in the US. Sheila Kahyaoglu discusses Delta earnings.
30:41

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Inflation is unlikely to change anyone's view on the economy or the Federal Reserve's stance, but getting inflation back down to 2% will be challenging.
  • Supply-side rebalancing and lower geopolitical tensions are expected to bring inflation down to 2% or less by the fourth quarter of next year, with opportunities in certain segments of the equity and bond markets.

Deep dives

Inflation concerns and market reactions

The podcast discusses the latest inflation data and its impact on the market. The guest, Jay Bryson from Wells Fargo, describes the CPI print as a 'damp squib' and explains that it is unlikely to change anyone's view on the economy or alter the Federal Reserve's stance. He notes that while the increase in PPI and CPI is a concern, it is largely due to the rise in goods inflation. Bryson also mentions that the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could potentially impact gasoline prices, but emphasizes that it would need a sustained increase in prices to have a lasting effect on inflation. Overall, he believes that getting inflation back down to 2% will be challenging and may require sub-trend economic growth over the next few quarters.

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