The Rest Is Politics 338. Trump beyond America: what’s next?
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Nov 9, 2024 The discussion kicks off with an examination of Trump's surprising election win and its implications for foreign policy. The hosts dive into the dynamics of hope and disappointment in political figures, especially in relation to populism. They analyze the potential geopolitical effects of Trump's second term, focusing on relationships with China, Taiwan, and Ukraine. Key future political appointments are scrutinized, alongside proposed tariffs and immigration policies. The conversation ultimately highlights the evolving political landscape and the narrative of hope for democracy.
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Wishful Thinking
- Rory Stewart admits to wishful thinking influencing his incorrect prediction of a Kamala Harris victory.
- He cites various factors, including Trump's past performance and assumptions about voter turnout.
Impact of Identity Politics
- Alastair Campbell believes racism and sexism played a role in Kamala Harris's loss.
- He also points out her struggle to balance continuity and change in her messaging, unlike Trump.
Importance of Fieldwork
- Wishful thinking and limited exposure to certain demographics led to misjudgments in the US election.
- Spending time in diverse areas is key to understanding political dynamics.