Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Mantic Monday 1/29/24

Feb 9, 2024
This podcast explores election problems and Trump odds, discusses the power of prediction markets, and examines scenarios for the future of AI. It also covers various predictions related to AI, politics, and technology, reflects on forecasting and grading predictions, and explores the presence of unreliable forecasters on prediction sites.
Ask episode
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 2min
2
Forecasting and Prediction Markets
02:07 • 6min
3
Exploring the Scenarios for the Future of AI and Metaculous
07:37 • 6min
4
Predictions, Ukraine War, and Website Changes
14:05 • 2min
5
Interview, Prediction Grading, and Reflections on Forecasting
16:24 • 2min