RiskReversal Pod The Mag7 Is No Longer The Mag7 with Robinhood's Steph Guild & Michael Obucina
4 snips
Sep 10, 2025 
Steph Guild, CIO of Robinhood, and Michael Obucina, the Head of Education at Robinhood, dive into the dynamic shifts within today’s market. They discuss Oracle's impressive 22% stock surge and its ramifications for AI sectors. The conversation spans IPO trends and the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts. They also explore the increasing volatility in the options market and sector-specific opportunities, including defense technology and regional banks. The hosts wrap up with their insights on cryptocurrencies, gold, and future market expectations.
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Oracle Popped Because AI Story Expanded
- Oracle's aftermarket 22% pop signals that AI excitement is broadening beyond obvious names.
- Markets reward companies that suddenly present credible multi-year AI revenue visibility.
Options Mispriced Into Oracle Earnings
- Implied move priced into Oracle options was ~$25–$30 but aftermarket realized ~ $75, a 2–3σ event.
- Selling premium into earnings can blow up when companies massively beat expectations.
Trade IPOs Carefully After The Open
- Be cautious buying IPOs immediately in the aftermarket and avoid market orders on volatile opens.
- Size positions conservatively and decide when to take profits after initial pop.
