Boeing probe focuses on loose bolts in planes. Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo's reputation on Wall Street. Bloomberg Business Week lists 50 companies to watch in 2024. Discussion on AI companies and interest rate changes for European banks. Rate cuts in 2024 predicted to be fewer than expected.
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Quick takeaways
Boeing's fuselage blowout investigation focuses on loose bolts, highlighting potential safety concerns in the airline industry.
Aston Martin's anticipated release of new high-margin sports cars and an SUV could drive growth and recovery for the company.
European banks may face margin pressure due to central banks lowering interest rates, but falling rates could benefit homebuilder Persimmon.
Companies like Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, and Intuit leading in AI, with infrastructure and application-focused companies driving the ongoing AI revolution.
Deep dives
Investors cautious as market trade turns lower
During the market trade, major equity averages are down despite the 10-year yield remaining stable. Bill Gross suggests that 10-year treasuries are overvalued, while Andra Skiba believes the rally in treasuries may stall temporarily. Skiba points to possible future inflation surprises and expects a consolidation in yields. She suggests that a 20-30 basis point back-up from current levels would attract demand from fixed income investors. The Bloomberg Intelligence team also believes that bond investors can still achieve equity-like returns in 2024.
Aston Martin expected to release new products
Aston Martin is anticipated to release new sports cars, including a 12-cylinder car and an SUV. These high-margin products could potentially drive growth and help the company recover from recent disappointments. The buying opportunity could be met with demand from investors who missed out on the previous rally.
European banks face margin pressure with expected rate cuts
As central banks pivot towards lowering interest rates, European banks may face margin pressure. Barclays and AXA, for instance, are expected to suffer profitability prospects due to declining interest rates and changes in the insurance industry. However, the homebuilder Persimmon could see upside as falling interest rates may lead to an increase in housing activity.
Artificial intelligence continues to drive opportunities
Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a significant focus, with companies like Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, and Intuit leading the way. Infrastructure companies contribute to the AI revolution by creating the necessary tools and programs, while application-focused companies like Intuit and Match integrate AI solutions into their products. The ongoing AI trend is expected to generate high single-digit or low double-digit returns for investors.
M&A opportunities emerge
Ongoing mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities present investment opportunities. Exxon's increased exposure to the Permian Basin and Saudi Arabian petrochemical company SABIC's focus on petrochemicals instead of steel are seen as positive opportunities. Investors may find value in companies like Estee Lauder and Diageo, which could outperform expectation due to favorable M&A conditions.
Fixed income market offers attractive returns
Fixed income investments are expected to provide high single-digit or low double-digit returns over the next 12 months, with high-grade and high-yield opportunities available. While high-grade investments are easier for some investors to consider, high-yield assets offer strong technicals as there is limited issuance and few maturing bonds. A small increase in demand could lead to positive price action in the high-yield segment.
Interest rates unlikely to reach 5% in 2024
While the market may experience some consolidation and the potential for slightly higher inflation in the near term, interest rates reaching 5% in 2024 seems unlikely. Several factors, including moderation in inflation and the Federal Reserve's ability to cut rates, could lead to lower yields rather than significant increases.
Bloomberg News Aerospace Reporter Julie Johnsson and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Airlines Analyst George Ferguson break down the latest news related to Boeing's fuselage blowout. Wells Fargo Securities Head of US Large-Cap Bank Research Mike Mayo and Bloomberg News Senior Finance Reporter Sri Natarajan discuss Mike's reputation on Wall Street and his analysis of the banking sector. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior European Strategist Tim Craighead talk about The 50 Companies to Watch in 2024 as profiled in Businessweek Magazine. And we Drive to the Close with Andrzej Skiba, Head of US Fixed Income at RBC Global Asset Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan.