Bloomberg Surveillance Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Jordan Rochester & Nancy Lazar
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May 28, 2025 Delve into the dynamic world of economic insights as experts discuss the balance between technical and fundamental analysis. Explore how GDP forecasts and inflation shape market strategies in a landscape predicted to lack interest rate cuts. Discover the critical role of capital investment in driving economic growth, and the implications of tax reform on manufacturing costs. This engaging dialogue reveals the often overlooked significance of investment in fostering a vibrant economy.
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Integrating Market Analysis Approaches
- Equity markets show early signs of trending influenced by technical, fundamental, and economic factors.
- Sophisticated analysis integrates multiple disciplines for better market understanding.
Fed Rate Outlook and Yield Curve
- The Fed is unlikely to cut rates this year due to expected inflation near 3.5% despite weak GDP growth.
- Markets are pricing more rate cuts in 2026 than 2025, implying a flattening yield curve is likely.
Capital Spending's Role in Growth
- Capital spending drives economic growth but remains underappreciated in media coverage.
- Without reinvestment by businesses, economies stagnate, as seen post-China's WTO entry.