164: Infrastructure: From Niche to Mainstream Asset Class - With Luba Nikulina, CSO of IFM Investors
Jan 9, 2025
auto_awesome
Luba Nikulina, Chief Strategy Officer at IFM Investors and former Head Global of Research at WTW, dives into the booming world of infrastructure investment. She discusses its growing prominence as a mainstream asset class, likening it to private equity. Luba highlights why countries like Australia and Canada are leading with significant allocations, while others catch up. She also examines the resilience of infrastructure against external shocks and explores the role of government policies in fostering investment opportunities, particularly in renewable energy.
The episode explores the integration of sustainability into investment strategies, emphasizing the growing importance of ESG criteria among institutional investors.
Infrastructure is increasingly recognized for its stability and growth potential in investment portfolios, acting as a protective 'buoyant ballast' against market volatility.
Deep dives
Importance of Sustainability in Investments
The episode emphasizes that 70% of institutional investors recognize sustainability as critical when allocating capital in private markets. This encompasses both environmental and social sustainability, which is becoming increasingly significant across various investment sectors. Investors are looking for opportunities that align with their values, particularly in energy transition assets, reflecting a broader societal shift towards sustainable practices. As a result, the focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria is influencing decision-making in private market investments.
The Growing Role of Infrastructure in Portfolios
Infrastructure is gaining recognition for its resilient and stable cash flows, making it an attractive asset class in multi-asset portfolios. Compared to bonds and equities, infrastructure serves as a unique component that provides both stability during downturns and growth potential. The episode discusses how infrastructure can act as a 'buoyant ballast', offering protection against market volatility while allowing for positive returns. As institutional investors allocate more towards infrastructure, it is seen as a critical area for future growth.
Challenges and Opportunities in Global Markets
The conversation highlights the disparities in infrastructure allocations among global investors, particularly noting Australia and Canada’s higher percentages compared to other regions. Institutional investors outside these markets are still figuring out how to embrace infrastructure effectively, often reflecting single-digit allocations. Meanwhile, the renewed interest in private debt and credit is reshaping asset allocation strategies, as investors grapple with rising interest rates and shifting markets. The episode reflects on how infrastructure investments could grow significantly once these global investors recognize their potential.
Innovative infrastructure investments are being driven by a need for decarbonization and the incorporation of advanced technologies. For instance, the push for renewable energy sources and smart utilities emphasizes the integration of AI and efficiency in existing infrastructure. The episode details how new developments in infrastructure will require substantial investment and present significant growth opportunities. Investments in these modernization efforts not only respond to current energy demands but also create jobs and promote economic growth.
Today is the first time we welcome back a guest who has changed firms between interviews. We recorded Luba Nikulina, on Thanksgiving day, 2022, and our guest was then Head Global of Research at WTW, an organisation advising on over $3 trillion of assets.
Today Luba is the Chief Strategy Officer at IFM Investors, a leading asset manager in infrastructure with a significant presence in other asset management capabilities.
Luba explains the switch, and unpacks the investment thesis behind the increasing inclusion of infrastructure in institutional portfolios.
She reflects on its position within the growing private assets sleeve of allocators, and why Australia and Canada have adopted significantly larger allocations of 10-20%, but why many other major countries are now building theirs.
She assesses infrastructure’s risks, rewards and liquidity characteristics. She explains the barriers to competition, the projects involved, including bridges, toll roads, data centres and new energy assets. In short she would say it’s the “buoyant, brilliant ballast in the investment boat”.