RealClearPolitics Podcast Big Elections in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia
27 snips
Nov 3, 2025 The discussion kicks off with a preview of crucial elections in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia, focusing on Obama's potential impact on Democratic turnout. The hosts analyze state polls and candidate dynamics, weighing how these races could indicate trends for the 2026 midterms. Trump's recent interview brings up his calls to end the filibuster, alongside the implications of his stance on ICE and tariffs. Controversies at the Heritage Foundation over engaging fringe voices paint a picture of the future of conservatism.
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Obama's Endorsement Power Is Limited
- Barack Obama's campaigning may not reliably move undecided or independent voters despite energizing donors and activists.
- Tom Bevan argues Obama's past post-election losses show his endorsements don't always translate into down-ballot wins.
Margins As Midterm Bellwether
- The New Jersey and Virginia margins will signal whether Democrats can expand beyond 2024 gains or need new strategies.
- Phil Wegmann watches state margins relative to Trump's 5.8–5.9% losses as a midpoint indicator for 2026.
Demographics Could Decide NJ Outcome
- Youth and Hispanic turnout will shape New Jersey and could reveal if Trump's 2024 Hispanic gains persist.
- Andrew Walworth flags those demographics as key indicators for GOP inroads or Democratic resilience.