The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series Election Postmortem... || Peter Zeihan
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Nov 19, 2024 The discussion dives into the surprising outcomes of the recent U.S. federal elections, spotlighting the role of independent voters in reshaping party identities. It examines how traditional Democratic demographics are now aligning with Trump, creating a fascinating political landscape. Additionally, the podcast highlights the declining influence of organized labor and the unique position of Hispanic voters, who oppose immigration despite their demographic shift. The challenges faced by the Republican Party under Trump's leadership add yet another layer to this evolving drama.
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Independent Voters
- Independent voters have decided most presidential elections in the last 30 years.
- A small percentage of self-identified independents (5-10%) swing elections.
Independent Voters' Backlash
- Peter Zeihan predicted that independents, angered by being told their votes didn't matter, would vote against Trump-endorsed candidates.
- This prediction largely came true, defying expectations of a "red wave".
Demographic Shifts
- While independents voted against Trump as predicted, other demographics shifted significantly.
- Several groups typically aligned with Democrats, including minorities and lower-income individuals, voted for Trump.