Pro Politics with Zac McCrary Election Day 2024 Preview with Amy Walter
With just hours until polling places open for the November 5th presidential election, this week's guest is analyst Amy Walter to provide her insights and instincts heading into Election Day. The editor and publisher of The Cook Report with Amy Walter, Amy has been a constant presence writing and thinking about US elections for nearly three decades. In this conversation, she goes deep on her thoughts on the presidential race, her take on both the Senate and House, and narratives she expects to emerge post-election. This is a smart and expansive preview from a top analyst on the eve of an incredibly competitive and consequential election.
IN THIS EPISODE
Amy starts with her initial table-setter on expectations in the presidential race...
What is Donald Trump's ceiling of support?
Rationales for both a Harris win and a Trump win...
Is this the closest presidential race 3-4 days out that Amy has covered?
Amy's theory that, for many voters, the presidential election boils down to "controlling risk"...
Why are we in an era of consistently 50-50 races?
Which candidate is more likely to over-perform the polls?
The one Rust Belt and one Sun Belt state Amy feels will be the most predictive of the overall result?
Why early vote analysis is like shaking gift boxes before Christmas?
What is different in Trump's 2024 campaign compared to '16 and '20?
Amy's take on the truncated Harris campaign and its closing message?
How both Democrats and Republicans would respond to a presidential loss?
Amy's range of expectations for the Senate and the race that would be most predictive of which side is having a good night...
How the NRSC has tried to avoid mistakes from the '22 cycle...
How the issue of abortion could be a stumbling block for a good Republican night in the Senate?
Amy's take on late-breaking Senate races in Texas and Nebraska...
Amy returns to her roots as a "House homer" to gauge the state of play in the House...
Amy's prediction of when the news desks will call the race and declare a President-Election...
& more!