Ep. 85 - Metaculus: Aggregating emotions, expertise, and data into Prediction Engine

Part 2 of Max's discussion with Anthony Aguirre, cofounder of the Metaculus prediction engine. Topics include:
- The difference between making short term, long term, and theoretical predictions
- The human mind and human emotions - as imperfect as they are - being world's best tool for prediction making
- Calibrating your probabilities, on an individual and group level
- Predictions of humor-detecting AI, waking up after being cryogenically frozen, and political developments

localmaxradio.com/85
metaculus.com

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