7am Will Australia go to war over Taiwan?
Jul 17, 2025
Hamish Macdonald, host of ABC's Global Roaming, dives into the complex web of Australia's foreign relations, especially regarding Taiwan. He discusses Prime Minister Albanese’s diplomatic dance with China and the implications of the U.S. AUKUS deal amidst rising tensions. The significance of nuclear submarines for regional security is examined, along with Australia's ambiguous stance on Taiwan's defense. Macdonald highlights the potential geopolitical shifts and stresses the need for Australia to clarify its readiness amid uncertainties.
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AUKUS Review and Submarine Pressure
- Leaks suggest the US might demand Australia pay more for submarines and commit to using them in a conflict over Taiwan.
- This reveals the strategic importance and pressure around AUKUS and nuclear-powered submarines.
Australia's Strategic Calculus on China
- Australia's AUKUS rationale is implicit about China as the threat, highlighting risks to trade and regional stability.
- Nuclear-powered submarines enhance deterrence by being stealthier and capable of longer deployment to counter Chinese aggression.
Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan
- Australia and the US maintain strategic ambiguity on Taiwan, neither committing explicitly to defend it nor abandoning it.
- This ambiguity aims to deter China by implying high costs without clear commitments.