Get Ready For A Downturn Unlike Any We've Seen Before | Michael Oliver

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Jun 29, 2025

In this discussion, Michael Oliver, a seasoned technical analyst and founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, shares his insights on the current market climate. He predicts an unprecedented economic downturn is on the horizon, affecting investor confidence. The discussion highlights vulnerabilities in corporate debt, rising interest rates, and the potential for significant price increases in gold and silver, while Bitcoin's viability is questioned. Oliver emphasizes the importance of strategic portfolio management as investors brace for impending market volatility.

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INSIGHT

Downturns Driven by Past Overpricing

Market downturns are primarily caused by past overpricing errors rather than future events.
The decade-long phase of free money has built unsustainable bubbles affecting multiple sectors.

INSIGHT

Commercial Real Estate Weakness

Commercial real estate is exhibiting significant weakness unnoticed by most investors.
Market highs in major indexes are not confirmed by many key sectors, signaling internal market fractures.

INSIGHT

Recession and Bear Market Ahead

A major bear market and recession are expected due to built-in economic failures.
Overpriced markets fueled by 15 years of free money will correct regardless of current headlines.

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After the tariff tizzy that sent stocks falling earlier this year, the markets are back at all time highs and seemingly nothing -- not US involvement in a Middle East war, nor growing pushback to Trump's Big Beautiful Bill, nor a weakening consumer -- can cool Wall Street's red-hot optimism right now.Is this bull rally justified?Have we put the uncertainty and volatility that defined the first half of the year safely behind us now?Or are investors too confident now?For a market veteran's perspective, we're fortunate to be joined by technical analyst and author Michael Oliver, founder of market research firm Momentum Structural Analysis.Michael predicts an economic downturn unlike anyone living has seen before is headed our way. It will weigh on the markets, though he expects the price of gold and silver to skyrocket. Bitcoin, not so much...

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #bearmarket #bitcoinprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.