Chai with Pabrai

Boston College, Carroll School of Management Presentation, December 3, 2015

11 snips
Feb 21, 2023
This discussion dives into the cyclical nature of market bubbles, highlighting historical examples like the 1920s automobile bubble and the dot-com era. It emphasizes the emotional factors driving investor behavior while critiquing the importance of sound valuation. The importance of patience in investing is underscored, alongside reflections on past mistakes, particularly with Sears. Additionally, it advocates for strategic investing focused on acquiring quality businesses and making career choices that prioritize fulfillment over mere prestige.
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INSIGHT

Bubbles Repeat Every 40 Years

  • Bubbles are very common and occur about every 38-40 years across industries like autos and electronics.
  • Investors often recognize promising trends but still lose almost all money due to hype and overvaluation.
INSIGHT

Modern Tech Stocks Mirror Nifty 50

  • Current tech valuations resemble the Nifty 50 bubble of the 1970s with extreme price disparities.
  • Market enthusiasm often disregards valuation metrics due to beliefs in long-term business transformation.
ADVICE

Trust Your Inner Scorecard

  • Focus on your inner scorecard instead of the market's outer scorecard to maintain conviction during tough times.
  • Patience and ignoring external noise are key to surviving long periods when value investing underperforms.
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