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BONUS Radio War Nerd EP 640 — Brazil Elections & US Subversion, feat. Brian Mier

Oct 3, 2026
Brian Mier, a journalist and Brazil correspondent, examines Brazil’s high-stakes presidential election and the forces shaping it. He discusses Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro’s competing voter bases, Bolsonaro’s MAGA-aligned politics, attacks on Brazil’s judiciary, and the Banco Master scandal. He also details the military-backed coup plot, assassination plans, and the broader role of U.S. and international interference.
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INSIGHT

Brazil’s Tight Election Hinges On Turnout Rules

  • Brazil’s election pits Lula against Flavio Bolsonaro amid a durable far-right base and sophisticated media manipulation.
  • Lula leads by roughly five points, but blank ballots, abstentions, and Brazil’s voting rules could force a second round.
INSIGHT

Why Evangelicals Remain Bolsonaro’s Strongest Bloc

  • Lula dominates among poorer voters, women, and Catholics, while Flavio Bolsonaro leads among evangelicals.
  • Mier links evangelical political influence to prosperity-gospel individualism and decades of U.S.-backed organizing.
INSIGHT

Flavio Bolsonaro Offers A MAGA Resource Deal

  • Flavio Bolsonaro’s platform combines MAGA politics, U.S.-supervised government transition, deregulation, and resource access for American companies.
  • His campaign reportedly promises U.S. access to Brazil’s rare-earth reserves while weakening social-media regulation.
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