Jason Furman, a Harvard professor and former chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, discusses the shortcomings of Biden's economic policies. He critiques the 'post-neoliberal delusion' prevalent in both major parties. Furman emphasizes the need for alternative strategies to combat inflation and the impact of tariffs and manufacturing revitalization. He also explores the intersection of economic policy and national security, focusing on U.S.-China tensions and the significance of infrastructure development to enhance growth and resilience.
The podcast critiques the Biden administration's economic policies, highlighting inflation's impact on infrastructure initiatives and voter sentiments.
The discussion advocates for a balanced economic approach, recognizing the need for effective government intervention amid the evolving global economic landscape.
Deep dives
Bidenomics and Inflation's Impact
The economic policies under the Biden administration have faced significant criticism, particularly regarding how inflation has undermined key initiatives. Despite purported successes like low unemployment and GDP growth, many of Biden’s objectives, such as infrastructure investment and expanding the child tax credit, were actually diminished in real terms due to rising prices. This inflationary environment has hampered purchasing power, ultimately leading to a disconnection between the administration's goals and the lived experiences of voters. This disconnect is seen as a contributing factor to shifting political sentiments, potentially leading to a resurgence of previously defeated candidates like Donald Trump.
Comparative U.S. Economic Strength
Despite inflation and economic challenges, the U.S. economy has shown resilience compared to other developed nations, maintaining a similar percentage of global GDP as in previous decades. The conversation highlights a favorable outlook for U.S. productivity growth and demographic trends bolstered by immigration, indicating a structural strength that has persisted across multiple administrations. This macroeconomic perspective suggests that while individual policies may have shortcomings, the broader trends position the U.S. economy relatively well on the global stage. Critics argue that this bigger picture often overshadows the critical details impacting everyday Americans and their immediate economic realities.
A New Approach to Economic Policy
The podcast discusses a potential shift away from both neoliberal and post-neoliberal economic policies, advocating for a balanced approach that combines elements of each. Emphasizing the importance of growth and productivity, the discussion pivots towards the need for effective government intervention to address systemic issues, such as redistributive policies aimed at supporting families and children. It also calls for a realistic examination of industrial policy that acknowledges its importance for national security without overextending it to lower-value sectors. Additionally, there is a growing recognition of the need to engage with changing economic contexts, particularly in relation to workforce participation rates and their implications for long-term economic health.
The Role of Tariffs and Trade Policy
The administration's stance on tariffs has prompted debate on their economic efficacy, as recent observations suggest that while tariffs can protect domestic industries, they also impose significant costs on consumption and trade dynamics. The conversation expert points out the disconnect between popular perceptions of tariffs and economic realities, emphasizing that tariffs often result in tax-like consequences for exports as well. The administration's choices to retain certain tariffs, particularly those instituted by the previous administration, raise concerns about potential retaliatory measures from other nations. Ultimately, a nuanced understanding of trade is needed, one that recognizes the complex interplay between protectionism and the broader implications for economic growth and international relations.
Missing The World Next Week? Host Robert McMahon shares his favorite CFR resources for news and analysis on foreign policy and global affairs. Foreign Affairs invites you to join its editor, Daniel Kurtz-Phelan, as he talks with influential thinkers and policymakers about the forces shaping the world. Whether the topic is the war in Ukraine, the United States’ competition with China, or the future of globalization, The Foreign Affairs Interview offers the kind of authoritative commentary and analysis that you can find in the magazine and on the website. In this featured episode, Dan Kurtz-Phelan speaks with Jason Furman about why the Biden administration’s economic policy fell short—and why both Democrats and Republicans should abandon what he calls their “post-neoliberal delusion.”
This episode was originally released by The Foreign Affairs Interview on February 13, 2025.