The Thinking Muslim The Saudi–UAE Rift: Yemen and the End of an Alliance? | Dr Andreas Krieg
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Jan 5, 2026 Dr. Andreas Krieg, an expert in Middle Eastern politics, dives into the complex dynamics between Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Yemen. He highlights Yemen's strategic significance and the origins of the Saudi–UAE split due to diverging goals. The discussion reveals how the UAE's agile, networked approach contrasts with Saudi Arabia's hierarchical methods. Krieg also examines the implications of emerging alliances, such as the UAE-Israel axis, and reflects on possible regional realignments, revealing the shifting tides of power in the Gulf.
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Yemen's Geostrategic Importance
- Yemen sits on the Bab al-Mandab, a crucial choke point for global trade and hydrocarbon flows.
- Instability there therefore has regional and global economic and security consequences.
UAE's Proxy Network In South Yemen
- The UAE built and funded southern militias like the STC to pursue a southern secessionist project.
- That network shifted focus away from fighting the Houthis and created long-running rifts with Saudi Arabia.
Why The Clash Escalated Now
- Last month's STC push into Hadramawt and Mahra crossed Saudi red lines and escalated tensions.
- The UAE likely intended to pressure Riyadh as part of a wider bargaining interaction over Sudan and other issues.