The Numbers How long will this Parliament last?
May 5, 2025
With a recent election result leaving a Liberal minority, the discussion centers on how long this government can last. Insights into the demographic shifts in voting patterns reveal surprising trends, particularly among age and gender groups. The speakers dive into trust issues surrounding election integrity and the future of key political figures like Pierre Poilievre. Engaging quizzes on historical races add a fun twist, making for an entertaining and thought-provoking political analysis.
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Minority Almost Functions As Majority
- The Liberals' 169 seats, just short of a majority, functions almost like a majority for confidence votes.
- This tight minority will require the Liberals to maintain strict discipline to keep their government afloat.
Expected Duration of Minority Governments
- Minority governments usually last around 18-24 months, but the last one nearly lasted four years.
- Given current dynamics, this minority likely won't last the full term either, returning to typical durations.
Poilievre’s New Riding Story
- Pierre Poilievre will seek a seat in Battle River–Crowfoot after losing in Carlton.
- The incumbent MP in that safe Conservative riding is temporarily stepping down to allow Poilievre to run there.