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Goldman Sachs The Markets

Is the Trump trade just getting started?

Nov 8, 2024
Shawn Tuteja, who oversees ETF and custom baskets volatility trading at Goldman Sachs, joins Chris Hussey to discuss the impact of the recent U.S. election on market dynamics. Tuteja delves into how election outcomes have historically influenced the S&P 500 and explores emerging opportunities in regional banks and deregulated industries. He also highlights the surprising strength of U.S. tech stocks and the potential for small businesses to thrive under a favorable government approach. Is the Trump trade just starting? Tune in for insights!
10:05

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have created a 'Goldilocks' environment, boosting investor confidence and supporting equity markets.
  • Post-election, sectors linked to deregulation and companies serving small businesses present promising investment opportunities amid a favorable regulatory backdrop.

Deep dives

Market Reaction to Federal Reserve Cuts

The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut has instilled confidence in equity markets, leading investors to perceive a protective stance from the Fed. After the Fed's decision not to cut rates in July, the market experienced a sell-off, but subsequent signals of support from the Fed, including a more significant cut, reassured investors. This perception has resulted in a bullish sentiment, with the market pricing in expectations for further rate cuts if economic conditions worsen. As growth and employment numbers remain stable, the current environment is characterized as a 'Goldilocks' scenario, where the Fed is supporting equities amidst ongoing economic expansion.

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