Cold War Lessons for a New Era: Connecting IW and Great Power Competition
Apr 19, 2024
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Exploring Cold War lessons for today's strategic competition, guests discuss the role of irregular conflicts, battlegrounds between great powers, and recommendations for policymakers. Topics include competencies in training partner forces, fragile states, and the challenges posed by China's resources. The podcast also explores academia and government service in conflict studies, the intersection of irregular warfare and great power competition, and the interconnectedness of fragile states and global strategic competition.
Irregular conflicts are integral to strategic competition, despite Washington's policy silos.
Irregular warfare interventions can influence global strategic competitions, as seen in the Cold War.
Integrating policies and practices for irregular warfare into strategic competition requires removing bureaucratic hurdles.
Deep dives
Investing in Irregular Warfare Capabilities Despite Core Focus on Conventional Conflict in Washington
Despite a focus in DC on preparing for conventional conflict with great powers, the podcast emphasizes the significance of maintaining and investing in irregular warfare capabilities. Discussion anchored in history shows how irregular warfare competencies have played critical roles even in great power competition settings. The need to integrate policies and practices for irregular warfare into broader strategic competition is highlighted, with examples from the Cold War demonstrating the impact of small local conflicts in global strategic competitions.
Diversification of Investments Across Conventional and Irregular Capabilities for Strategic Competition
The podcast advocates for diversifying investments across conventional and irregular capabilities to prepare for great power competition effectively. It stresses the importance of blending tools of statecraft, such as diplomacy, economic development, and peace-building, alongside conventional military power. The hypothetical example of foregoing a major conventional acquisition in favor of training foreign service officers underscores the need for a diversified portfolio to achieve strategic goals.
Challenges in Tracking ROI and Cost Allocation for Irregular Warfare Engagements
One bureaucratic hurdle discussed is the difficulty in accounting for the costs of engaging in irregular warfare due to the intermingling of capabilities across various conflict types. Challenges arise in attributing costs to specific irregular warfare missions, hindering the calculation of return on investment (ROI). The complex nature of using systems across different conflicts makes it challenging to provide clear ROI metrics, impacting decision-making.
Synchronizing US Stabilization Efforts Across Bureaucracies
Efforts to synchronize stabilization efforts across the Pentagon, State Department, and USAID are underway, aiming to enhance coordination and effectiveness in fragile states. Legislative initiatives like the Global Fragility Act seek to streamline synchronization among different government arms involved in stabilization. Challenges exist in aligning budgeting processes, necessitating high-level coordination to overcome bureaucratic hurdles and achieve better alignment in stabilization efforts.
Importance of Language Skills and Developing Long-term Relationships in Irregular Warfare
Emphasis is placed on developing language skills and building long-term relationships as critical components of successful engagement in irregular warfare settings. The discussion underlines the need to prioritize language acquisition and relationship-building skills to facilitate effective diplomacy and partnerships in fragile states. The recommendation to leverage private sector techniques in maintaining long-term inter-organizational relationships reflects a strategic approach to enhancing US engagements in irregular conflict environments.
Episode 103 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast examines the role that irregular conflicts played during the Cold War to inform today’s era of strategic competition.
Our guests begin by explaining how irregular conflicts and capabilities play a role in strategic competition, despite policy structures in Washington that often silo great power conflict from irregular warfare. They then discuss evidence from the Cold War that suggests small, local wars often become battlegrounds between great powers. Finally, our guests conclude with a discussion of the kinds of irregular warfare interventions policymakers should consider for today’s era of great power competition and make recommendations for removing bureaucratic hurdles that would better integrate policies and practice for IW and strategic competition.
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