Morgan Housel, bestselling author, talks about setting processes instead of resolutions, the known biggest economic story, and the similarities in criticisms of cars, airplanes, and AI. They discuss sustainable financial goals, the impact and potential of generative AI, reflections on book publishing and reviews, and the importance of writing for oneself and embracing creativity.
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Quick takeaways
Traditional logic-based economic predictions often fail due to complex dynamics.
Adopting systems-based approaches over goal-oriented resolutions leads to more sustainable outcomes.
Deep dives
Unpredictability of Economic Trends
The podcast highlights the surprising discrepancy between economic predictions and reality in 2023. Despite expectations of high interest rates resulting in decreased housing prices and stock market performance, the opposite occurred. This serves as a reminder that traditional logic-based predictions often fail in the face of complex economic dynamics.
Moving from Goal-Oriented Resolutions to Systems
The discussion delves into the flaws of traditional goal-oriented resolutions and advocates for a systems-based approach. Goals with specific endpoints can lead to failure and disappointment once achieved. In contrast, adopting systems and focusing on continuous improvement can lead to more sustainable and successful outcomes. The example of saving money is used to illustrate the benefits of setting up a system rather than a specific financial goal.
Demographic Trends and Economic Implications
The podcast explores the significant impact of demographic trends on the economy. With a declining working-age population, many countries, including China, Japan, and Europe, face economic challenges. The United States, on the other hand, fares relatively better demographically. The discussion emphasizes the long-term consequences of demographic shifts and the need to consider demographic factors when making investment decisions.
Let’s say you have a big goal for 2024, financially or personally. What happens after you reach it? Morgan Housel is the best-selling author of “Same As Ever” and “The Psychology of Money”. Dylan Lewis caught up with Housel for a discussion about:
- Setting up processes, not resolutions for the new year.
- The biggest significant economic story (that’s already known).
- What early criticisms of cars, airplanes, and AI have in common.