The Intrinsic Value Podcast - The Investor’s Podcast Network

TIVP025: Smith & Wesson (SWBI): Deep Value — Locked and Loaded w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O’Malley

Jun 22, 2025
Discover the intriguing history of Smith & Wesson, a firearms giant with over 170 years of legacy. Dive into the cyclical nature of gun sales and learn how external factors shape market volatility. Explore the sustainability of their dividend amidst legal and regulatory challenges. Unearth investment risks and potential rewards tied to this often-overlooked stock. Shawn and Daniel also discuss strategies for investors considering this unique sector and whether Smith & Wesson's valuation might present a hidden opportunity.
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INSIGHT

Value in Controversial "Sin" Stock

  • Smith & Wesson is an "okay" business but often undervalued due to political and ethical constraints on ownership.
  • The controversial industry limits demand for shares, potentially creating investment opportunities from market inefficiency.
INSIGHT

Mean Reversion Value Thesis

  • Smith & Wesson is a true value investment, a mean reversion bet on normalized earnings rebound.
  • Key risks include misjudging permanent business damage or unacceptable time costs waiting for recovery.
INSIGHT

Cyclical Manufacturing Strategy

  • Smith & Wesson relies heavily on manufacturing handguns, which account for 75% of revenues.
  • To manage volatility, they subcontract production and offer manufacturing services during downturns.
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