The Fin

The shocking number at the heart of the Liberal Party’s problems

Nov 19, 2025
Phillip Coorey, a seasoned political editor, and Tony Barry, a former Liberal strategist, delve into the Coalition's alarming polling decline and the implications of abandoning net zero. They reveal that over a third of voters are unfamiliar with potential leadership contenders, raising questions about Sussan Ley's future. Discussions highlight One Nation’s rising influence on immigration, the stark collapse of youth support for the Coalition, and the pressing cost-of-living issues that dominate voters' concerns.
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INSIGHT

Net Zero Capitulation Was Forced

  • The Liberal Party abandoned its net zero commitment after internal pressure, notably from Nationals and hard-right figures.
  • Phillip Coorey argues the decision was forced and accelerated to prevent a leadership challenge against Sussan Ley.
INSIGHT

Coalition At Historic Low Polling

  • Redbridge polling showed the Coalition primary vote fell to a record low of 24%.
  • Tony Barry warns the Coalition needs about 45% primary support to be electorally competitive.
INSIGHT

Young Voters Are Leaving The Coalition

  • A large share of the Coalition's vote is 'soft', with 12% self-reporting as very likely to change.
  • Gen Z support for the Coalition is just 10%, and Gen Z plus millennials will form nearly half the roll.
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