Shutdown Showdown, Hospitality Headaches and Jeff Currie’s Exit Interview 9/25/23
Sep 25, 2023
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Raymond James’ Ed Mills analyzes the potential impact of government shutdown on stocks and bonds. Hospitality industry may face commercial real estate headaches. Goldman Sachs’ Jeff Currie makes bullish case for copper and oil in his last on-air interview at the firm.
Hotel loans continue to default, posing a potential crisis for the hospitality industry.
Oil and copper prices are predicted to rise further, indicating positive momentum in the energy sector.
Amazon's investment in anthropic highlights the competitive landscape of generative AI.
Deep dives
Commercial real estate concerns rise for hotels
Moody's reports that nearly half of the commercial mortgage-backed security loan liquidations last quarter were hotel loans that initially defaulted in 2020. Fitch also warns of weakening leisure demand and rising costs for hotels.
Energy prices hold steady with positive momentum
Oil prices are on track for their fourth straight month of gains. Goldman Sachs predicts further gains ahead for the energy sector. Copper is also expected to continue its positive momentum.
Amazon invests in AI startup Anthropica
Amazon is investing up to $4 billion in anthropic, a chat GPT rival. This move highlights the efforts of tech giants to maintain their lead in generative AI. Amazon's focus on developer tools and custom AI chips sets it apart.
Outgoing Goldman Sachs commodities research head Jeff Curry shares insights
Jeff Curry affirms the ongoing super cycle in commodities and highlights copper as a strong asset class. He predicts that office space will see improvement in fundamentals and that liquidity should never be underestimated in the market.
Recap and farewell to Jeff Curry from Goldman Sachs
Jeff Curry reflects on his time at Goldman Sachs and his final appearance on the show. He emphasizes the importance of liquidity in financial markets and the ongoing super cycle in commodities, particularly in copper and oil.