Gregory Korte and Jitania Kandhari discuss President Biden's news conference fallout, potential successors, voter loyalty, political polarization, market movements, and China's third plenum speculation.
President Biden faces challenges but still has majority support within his party.
Market rotations and concentration in U.S. market call for a need to broaden market for sustainable returns.
Deep dives
Challenges Faced by President Biden
President Biden faced challenges during a press conference, with some slips in his speech and hints of dissatisfaction even from within his own party. Despite calls for his resignation by a minority, most still support him. Speculations about his potential replacement, like Kamala Harris, were discussed, but Biden hasn't shown any inclination to step aside yet.
Market Analysis and Rotation
The market experienced rotations with strength in the yen, weakness in Japanese equities, and a churn on Wall Street. The concentration in the U.S. market was extended, with top stocks contributing significantly to overall returns, causing a need for a broadening market. Earnings and technical indicators play crucial roles, and a potential drawdown in U.S. stocks may impact emerging markets.
Global Market Perspectives and Currencies
Discussions focused on market dynamics, interest rates, and the role of currencies like the yen, Asian currencies, and emerging markets in response to various economic scenarios. India stands out with economic reforms and resilience, while China's upcoming plenum is anticipated to focus on local sourcing and technological indigenization, rather than shock strategies.