Episode 65: Dr. Qian Wang, Vanguard economic and market outlook of 2024, host Rick Ferri

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Dec 21, 2023

Dr. Qian Wang, Vanguard's Asia-Pacific chief economist, discusses the economic and market outlook for 2024. Topics covered include a return to sound money, concerns about future inflation and devaluation of fiat currency, managing budget deficits, the implications of higher interest rates on consumers, valuation and expected returns of asset classes, and the fixed income asset allocation strategy.

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ANECDOTE

Name Anecdote

Dr. Wang's name, Qian, is the same pronunciation as the Chinese word for "money."
She joked that money was coming to the podcast.

INSIGHT

Sound Money

"A return to sound money" means persistent real interest rates exceeding inflation.
This allows for solid risk-adjusted returns for long-term investors.

INSIGHT

Crypto and Sound Money

Cryptocurrencies gained popularity due to concerns about monetary policy devaluing fiat currency.
Positive real rates may alleviate this concern.

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Qian Wang, Ph.D., is Vanguard’s Asia-Pacific chief economist and global head of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model team in the Investment Strategy Group. She is also a member of Vanguard’s Strategic Asset Allocation Committee and its Time-Varying Asset Allocation Subcommittee, which oversees and determines the asset allocation strategies of global multi-asset-class portfolios such as the Vanguard Target Retirement Funds. This podcast discusses the Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2024: A return to sound money.

Qian earned a Ph.D. in business administration from Stanford University, an M.A. in economics from Duke University, and a B.A. in international economics from Beijing University. Before joining Vanguard in 2014, Qian was director of research at a sovereign wealth fund based in Asia and the chief China economist and head of greater China macro research at J.P. Morgan.

This podcast is hosted by Rick Ferri, CFA, a long-time Boglehead and investment adviser. The Bogleheads are a group of like-minded individual investors who follow the general investment and business beliefs of John C. Bogle, founder and former CEO of the Vanguard Group. It is a conflict-free community where individual investors reach out and provide education, assistance, and relevant information to other investors of all experience levels at no cost. The organization supports a free forum at Bogleheads.org, and the wiki site is Bogleheads® wiki.

Since 2000, the Bogleheads' have held national conferences in major cities nationwide. There are also many Local Chapters in the US and even a few Foreign Chapters that meet regularly. New Chapters are being added regularly. All Bogleheads activities are coordinated by volunteers who contribute their time and talent.

This podcast is supported by the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy, a non-profit organization approved by the IRS as a 501(c)(3) public charity on February 6, 2012. Your tax-deductible donation to the Bogle Center is appreciated.