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HSBC Global Viewpoint: Banking and Markets

Under the Banyan Tree - Asian FX and the strong USD

Nov 28, 2024
Joey Chew, Head of Asian FX Research at HSBC in Singapore, dives into the intricate world of Asian currencies impacted by a strong U.S. dollar. He discusses significant declines in 2023 and the future stability of currencies by 2025. The conversation highlights how U.S. economic data and local policies shape Asian FX dynamics, along with the pivotal roles of the Chinese renminbi and the Japanese yen. Chew emphasizes the interconnectedness of these currencies and the need for strategists to remain vigilant amid market volatility.
16:21

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Asian currencies, while experiencing depreciation against the strong USD, display relative resilience as they remain within historical ranges.
  • The strong dollar's influence stems from U.S. economic data and political factors, highlighting the interconnectedness of global FX markets.

Deep dives

Understanding Asian Currency Dynamics

This year, many Asian currencies have depreciated against the strong U.S. dollar, with specific examples including the Chinese renminbi, which has fallen approximately 2%, and the Japanese yen, which has dropped about 7.5%. Despite these declines, some analysts assert that the overall weakness is manageable, as many currencies are within historical ranges and have not reached fresh lows against the dollar. Additionally, the strength of the dollar can be attributed to various factors beyond Asian currencies, with the euro experiencing a more significant decline. This context suggests that while the dollar is strong, Asian currencies are showing relative resilience.

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