Stat Series: What Statistical Measure Are You Overusing? (And What to Do About It), Part Two
Mar 6, 2024
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Exploring the limitations of averages and the significance of outliers in data analysis. Introducing the use of graph databases for streamlined data handling. Emphasizing the importance of recognizing individual strengths over relying solely on averages. Reflecting on relationship moments and the impact of averages in decision-making.
Averages may not accurately represent a population, focusing on distributions provides a more holistic view.
Outliers can heavily skew averages, highlighting the importance of understanding and addressing extreme values in datasets.
Deep dives
Averages as Representations of Wholes
The podcast delves into the concept of averages as common and sticky statistics used to represent a whole. It discusses the misconception that averages are inherently representative of the entire population from which they are calculated. An example with story points in an agile team is provided to illustrate the assumption that a random sample would likely reflect the average. However, the episode emphasizes that averages may obscure a lot of information and suggests that focusing on distributions rather than singular averages could provide a more comprehensive understanding.
The Impact of Outliers on Averages
Another key point highlighted is the sensitivity of averages to outliers within a dataset. The podcast explains how extreme outliers can significantly skew the average, as it is calculated by summing all values and dividing by the total count. An illustrative scenario with 11 numbers, the majority being low with one extreme outlier, effectively demonstrates the distortion caused by outliers on the calculated average.
Human Perception and Averages
Human perception and the reliance on anecdotal evidence rather than averages for personal experiences are explored. The discussion touches on the availability heuristic, where individuals remember experiences based on peaks and recent events rather than overall averages. This cognitive bias is then related to workplace scenarios, emphasizing the importance of designing peak experiences to engage teams effectively and understanding the impact of individual events in shaping overall perceptions.
In this episode we continue our discussion about the most overused statistical measurement. We'll talk about a few more counterintuitive properties of the average, and how you might be underserving your colleagues as a result of thinking in averages.
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