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FiveThirtyEight Politics

2024 Is The First ‘AI Election.’ What Does That Mean?

Nov 30, 2023
47:20
Snipd AI
This podcast explores the integration of AI in the 2024 election, discussing its potential influence on voter behavior and information spread. They also discuss the drama and politics surrounding AI adoption, nightmare scenarios of AI in the election, the potential threat of deep fakes, watermarking AI-generated content, interventions to address AI issues in elections, and concerns about using AI technology.
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Quick takeaways

  • AI in politics presents both risks and benefits, including concerns about deep fakes and micro-targeting but also the potential to aid lesser-known candidates and provide voters with synthesized information through chatbots.
  • Regulating AI in politics requires a multi-pronged approach to address risks, avoid concentration of control, and incentivize responsible AI use, while recognizing trade-offs and the need for voter engagement.

Deep dives

The Role of AI in American Elections

As we approach the 2024 election, the integration of AI in political strategies and campaigns is becoming a reality. However, concerns arise regarding how AI might influence voter behavior and the spread of information. The potential dangers of deep fakes, particularly in the form of fake videos or images depicting major candidates in compromising positions, is a worrisome scenario. While there have been instances of deep fakes in elections, the current evidence suggests that the effects on voters are limited. Additionally, the use of AI in micro-targeting voters and manipulation of online content is a subject of discussion. However, past research indicates that such tactics do not have significant effects on election outcomes. The focus should not solely be on the negative impacts of AI; there are potential benefits such as aiding lesser-known candidates and providing voters with synthesized information through chatbots. While uncertainty surrounds the regulations and practical applications of AI in politics, it is essential to address the risks while acknowledging the potential positives.

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