FiveThirtyEight Politics A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters
Nov 14, 2024
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, sheds light on the surprising shift of Latino voters to the right in recent elections. He dives into key issues like the economy and immigration that are driving this change. Odio discusses Trump’s appeal and how Latino voters have become a powerful swing group. The conversation highlights the complexities of their voting behavior and the impact of both political parties’ actions, particularly regarding immigration and border security.
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Latino Voters Shift Right
- Latino voters swung significantly to the right in the 2024 election, mirroring a similar shift in 2020.
- This potential realignment is evident in exit polls and geographic data, particularly in South Florida and the Rio Grande Valley.
A Potential Realignment
- The shift among Latino voters appears to be a realignment, but its future trajectory is uncertain.
- Realignments are not irreversible, especially with a dynamic electorate like Latinos.
Geographic Shifts
- In Lawrence, Massachusetts, Trump's support increased from 15% in 2016 to 41% in 2024.
- Despite diverse geographic and demographic factors, there are common threads in the Latino shift across regions.