The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1002: Regression Candidates
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Jul 22, 2025 Discover which fantasy football players are set to decline this season due to regression trends. Key figures like Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, and Terry McLaurin are analyzed for their performance metrics, shedding light on how past results influence future expectations. The discussion brings insights into the intriguing world of predicting player outcomes, making it essential listening for fantasy football enthusiasts.
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Understanding Regression Correctly
- Regression means a player is likely to perform closer to their average, not necessarily that they are getting worse.
- Fantasy scoring fluctuations often don't align with real football performance changes.
Baker Mayfield's Regression Likely
- Baker Mayfield's touchdown rate was unusually high last year and likely to regress closer to the league average.
- Tampa Bay's high passing touchdown rate was a rarity with past teams typically regressing next season.
Eagles Pass Volume Set To Increase
- The Eagles ran an extremely low pass rate last year, one of the lowest since 2011, making a pass volume increase likely.
- Expect more passing volume to help Eagles' pass catchers in 2025 as passing usually rebounds from such extremes.